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North Carolina

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Kenan Stadium • Chapel Hill • NC

Team games analyzed
153
Neutral avg points
60.9
Adverse avg points
64.4
Weather delta
3.5

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2020 vs Virginia Tech: 40.1 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2016 vs Virginia Tech: -23.9 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20206Wet101.040.1Virginia Tech65.7F1.7 mph0.0 inNo
201510Wet97.036.1Duke71.1F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20209Cold85.024.1Virginia43.3F4.2 mph0.0 inYes
201514Cold82.021.1Clemson42.8F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20221Wet80.019.1Florida A&M77.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201712Windy75.014.1Western Carolina66.0F21.9 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold75.014.1Pittsburgh41.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20162Windy71.010.1Illinois72.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202211Wet70.09.1Wake Forest64.2F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
20155Wet69.08.1Georgia Tech62.1F9.2 mph0.0 inYes
201410Windy67.06.1Miami75.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold65.04.1NC State44.6F3.7 mph0.0 inYes
202113Cold64.03.1NC State41.2F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
201913Wet63.02.1Mercer46.0F4.5 mph0.1 in
202413Wet62.01.1Boston College44.2F17.4 mph0.0 inYes
201813Wet62.01.1NC State37.9F3.7 mph0.1 inNo
202514Cold61.00.1NC State37.6F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
201912Cold61.00.1Pittsburgh33.8F3.5 mph0.0 inNo
202313Cold59.0-1.9NC State39.2F5.8 mph0.0 inYes
20154Wet55.0-5.9Delaware66.0F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
201314Cold52.0-8.9Duke44.1F4.7 mph0.0 inYes
20226Wet51.0-9.9Miami82.4F16.2 mph0.0 inYes
201914Wet51.0-9.9NC State46.4F2.2 mph0.1 inNo
20138Wet50.0-10.9Miami70.0F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
201612Windy48.0-12.9The Citadel73.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20134Wet48.0-12.9Georgia Tech70.0F8.1 mph0.1 inNo
20254Wet43.0-17.9UCF85.8F11.6 mph0.0 inNo
20166Wet37.0-23.9Virginia Tech66.9F24.2 mph0.8 inYes

Quick Answers

North Carolina weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

3.52

Games in scope
153
Neutral avg points
60.91
Adverse avg points
64.43
Top outlier
Wet (40.09)