Mississippi State logo
SEC

Mississippi State

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Davis Wade Stadium • Starkville • MS

Team games analyzed
147
Neutral avg points
54.9
Adverse avg points
50.3
Weather delta
-4.6

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2015 vs Arkansas: 46.1 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2018 vs LSU: -32.9 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201512Cold101.046.1Arkansas36.0F3.4 mph0.0 inYes
20221Wet72.017.1Memphis84.0F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
202211Cold64.09.1Georgia39.0F10.6 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold63.08.1East Tennessee State44.4F0.4 mph0.0 inNo
201713Cold59.04.1Ole Miss42.8F0.0 mph0.0 inYes
20243Wet58.03.1Toledo75.0F0.0 mph0.1 inYes
202113Wet52.0-2.9Ole Miss59.0F9.2 mph0.0 inYes
201712Wet49.0-5.9Arkansas48.9F24.2 mph0.0 inNo
20141Wet49.0-5.9Southern Miss71.6F3.4 mph0.1 inNo
20215Wet48.0-6.9Texas A&M84.0F3.7 mph0.0 inYes
20162Windy41.0-13.9South Carolina95.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold40.0-14.9Ole Miss44.4F11.8 mph0.0 inNo
20184Wet35.0-19.9Kentucky63.1F5.9 mph0.1 inYes
201314Cold27.0-27.9Ole Miss32.0F0.0 mph0.0 inYes
202313Cold24.0-30.9Ole Miss44.4F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20188Wet22.0-32.9LSU68.0F9.2 mph0.1 inNo

Quick Answers

Mississippi State weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-4.62

Games in scope
147
Neutral avg points
54.87
Adverse avg points
50.25
Top outlier
Cold (46.13)