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Sun Belt • West

Texas State

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Bobcat Stadium (TX) • San Marcos • TX

Team games analyzed
150
Neutral avg points
58.8
Adverse avg points
54.9
Weather delta
-3.9

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2024 vs South Alabama: 24.2 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2022 vs Arkansas State: -29.8 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
202414Windy83.024.2South Alabama52.7F16.2 mph0.0 inNo
20144Windy77.018.2Illinois82.9F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20151Wet75.016.2Florida State78.1F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
201413Cold72.013.2Arkansas State41.0F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
20194Windy71.012.2Georgia State92.5F16.6 mph0.0 inNo
201410Windy66.07.2New Mexico State76.5F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202013Wet63.04.2Coastal Carolina59.7F8.9 mph0.0 inNo
20135Windy63.04.2Wyoming78.8F18.3 mph0.0 inYes
20166Windy62.03.2Georgia State84.0F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
201511Wet60.01.2Georgia State59.0F5.8 mph0.0 inYes
20242Windy59.00.2UTSA91.0F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
20217Windy59.00.2Troy73.4F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
20174Windy58.0-0.8UTSA88.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202411Wet55.0-3.8UL Monroe70.0F5.8 mph0.1 inNo
202311Wet54.0-4.8Coastal Carolina48.2F5.6 mph0.1 inYes
20206Wet54.0-4.8Troy77.2F10.9 mph0.0 inNo
20158Wet54.0-4.8South Alabama66.9F23.1 mph0.0 inNo
20225Wet53.0-5.8James Madison52.9F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201411Windy53.0-5.8Georgia Southern77.0F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20221Windy52.0-6.8Nevada98.2F19.7 mph0.0 inYes
20199Wet52.0-6.8Arkansas State57.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201510Windy52.0-6.8New Mexico State62.6F20.8 mph0.0 inYes
201614Wet50.0-8.8Arkansas State52.0F13.9 mph0.1 inNo
201913Wet48.0-10.8App State41.2F2.4 mph0.1 inNo
202113Windy46.0-12.8Arkansas State55.2F21.7 mph0.0 inYes
201313Windy45.0-13.8Western Kentucky41.0F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold44.0-14.8South Alabama45.0F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
201712Wet42.0-16.8Arkansas State64.0F27.7 mph0.0 inNo
202410Windy40.0-18.8Louisiana81.0F17.2 mph0.0 inYes
20228Windy34.0-24.8Southern Miss86.0F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
20132Wet31.0-27.8Prairie View A&M80.6F19.7 mph0.1 inNo
202212Wet29.0-29.8Arkansas State41.0F18.6 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Texas State weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-3.92

Games in scope
150
Neutral avg points
58.8
Adverse avg points
54.88
Top outlier
Wet (-29.8)