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Mid-American

Toledo

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Glass Bowl • Toledo • OH

Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
58.7
Adverse avg points
58.6
Weather delta
-0.2

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2017 vs Bowling Green: 44.3 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2023 vs Ball State: -39.7 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201712Windy103.044.3Bowling Green48.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
202110Cold101.042.3Eastern Michigan41.4F4.3 mph0.0 inYes
201312Cold92.033.3Buffalo32.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
201812Wet90.031.3Kent State34.0F7.4 mph0.0 inNo
201613Cold90.031.3Western Michigan39.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20138Wet89.030.3Navy42.8F7.0 mph0.1 inNo
20226Windy84.025.3Northern Illinois55.6F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
202011Cold79.020.3Western Michigan33.1F0.6 mph0.0 inNo
201913Cold79.020.3Buffalo38.3F7.6 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold77.018.3Bowling Green34.2F0.0 mph0.0 inYes
20149Windy77.018.3Massachusetts66.2F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202012Cold73.014.3Eastern Michigan39.6F11.3 mph0.0 inNo
20199Wet71.012.3Eastern Michigan51.6F11.0 mph0.0 inNo
201310Cold71.012.3Eastern Michigan44.6F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
20163Wet69.010.3Fresno State70.2F3.4 mph0.1 inNo
201911Cold68.09.3Kent State40.3F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
201414Cold68.09.3Eastern Michigan30.0F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20136Wet67.08.3Western Michigan71.6F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
202014Cold65.06.3Northern Illinois37.6F0.7 mph0.0 inNo
201513Wet65.06.3Western Michigan56.7F5.8 mph0.0 inYes
201813Cold64.05.3Central Michigan43.5F8.0 mph0.0 inNo
202312Cold63.04.3Bowling Green44.8F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
202113Wet63.04.3Akron30.6F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20228Windy61.02.3Buffalo72.5F16.2 mph0.0 inYes
201314Wet60.01.3Akron30.9F0.0 mph0.1 inYes
201912Cold59.00.3Northern Illinois24.3F10.3 mph0.0 inYes
20243Wet58.0-0.7Mississippi State75.0F0.0 mph0.1 inYes
202112Cold58.0-0.7Ohio39.7F6.5 mph0.0 inNo
201914Cold56.0-2.7Central Michigan32.9F0.8 mph0.0 inNo
201612Cold56.0-2.7Ball State44.4F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20166Windy55.0-3.7Eastern Michigan63.0F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
201811Cold53.0-5.7Northern Illinois32.7F13.0 mph0.0 inNo
201313Cold52.0-6.7Northern Illinois37.4F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
202013Cold51.0-7.7Ball State41.7F8.7 mph0.0 inYes
201511Cold51.0-7.7Central Michigan41.5F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201412Windy51.0-7.7Northern Illinois31.8F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201411Wet50.0-8.7Kent State53.2F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
202313Cold49.0-9.7Central Michigan30.7F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
201711Cold48.0-10.7Ohio39.0F0.0 mph0.0 inYes
20162Wet48.0-10.7Maine71.4F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
202513Cold47.0-11.7Ball State44.8F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
202412Cold47.0-11.7Central Michigan37.8F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
202015Windy47.0-11.7Central Michigan56.5F21.5 mph0.0 inNo
201413Windy47.0-11.7Bowling Green32.0F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
202310Wet44.0-14.7Buffalo31.5F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
20216Wet42.0-16.7Northern Illinois73.8F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
20177Wet40.0-18.7Central Michigan57.6F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20146Wet39.0-19.7Western Michigan42.1F8.1 mph0.1 inNo
20238Wet38.0-20.7Miami (OH)70.7F6.9 mph0.0 inNo
20259Windy35.0-23.7Washington State50.0F18.6 mph0.0 inYes
202414Cold35.0-23.7Akron37.0F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
20155Windy34.0-24.7Ball State45.0F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
202413Cold31.0-27.7Ohio43.2F6.8 mph0.0 inNo
202512Cold27.0-31.7Miami (OH)43.5F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
202514Wet24.0-34.7Central Michigan31.8F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20237Wet19.0-39.7Ball State53.6F13.7 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Toledo weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-0.16

Games in scope
149
Neutral avg points
58.73
Adverse avg points
58.57
Top outlier
Windy (44.27)