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Middle Tennessee

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium • Murfreesboro • TN

Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
56.1
Adverse avg points
63.0
Weather delta
7.0

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2013 vs Marshall: 43.9 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2022 vs Charlotte: -18.1 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20139Windy100.043.9Marshall47.8F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
20153Windy87.030.9Charlotte81.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20151Cold84.027.9Jackson State32.0F4.7 mph0.0 in
20169Wet77.020.9Florida International77.0F13.9 mph0.1 inNo
20134Cold77.020.9Florida Atlantic21.0F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
20224Wet76.019.9Miami79.0F3.4 mph0.1 inYes
202212Cold70.013.9Florida Atlantic44.6F10.4 mph0.0 inYes
201612Windy69.012.9Charlotte68.0F21.9 mph0.0 inNo
20146Windy68.011.9Southern Miss56.8F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20199Windy67.010.9Florida International73.8F20.4 mph0.0 inYes
20163Wet62.05.9Bowling Green69.1F8.1 mph0.1 inNo
20158Wet61.04.9Louisiana Tech71.1F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
201611Cold59.02.9Marshall44.1F0.0 mph0.0 inYes
201914Wet57.00.9Western Kentucky55.0F13.7 mph0.2 inNo
201812Cold57.00.9Kentucky40.8F3.1 mph0.0 inNo
20148Windy56.0-0.1UAB63.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201913Wet55.0-1.1Old Dominion45.0F12.4 mph0.0 inNo
20216Wet54.0-2.1Liberty68.2F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201814Wet52.0-4.1UAB60.3F12.1 mph0.0 inYes
20233Wet49.0-7.1Murray State69.8F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201512Windy48.0-8.1North Texas61.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202510Wet45.0-11.1Jacksonville State51.8F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201310Windy45.0-11.1UAB66.2F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202211Cold38.0-18.1Charlotte35.6F10.4 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Middle Tennessee weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

6.95

Games in scope
149
Neutral avg points
56.09
Adverse avg points
63.04
Top outlier
Windy (43.91)