Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Sun Belt • West
Arkansas State
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Centennial Bank Stadium • Jonesboro • AR
Team games analyzed
153
Neutral avg points
60.6
Adverse avg points
59.4
Weather delta
-1.3
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2014 vs New Mexico State: 42.4 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2022 vs Texas State: -31.6 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14 | Windy | 103.0 | 42.4 | New Mexico State | 63.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 6 | Wet | 77.0 | 16.4 | Central Arkansas | 69.6F | 12.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2024 | 11 | Wet | 74.0 | 13.4 | Louisiana | 80.2F | 5.8 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 72.0 | 11.4 | Texas State | 41.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 71.0 | 10.4 | Georgia Southern | 44.4F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 69.0 | 8.4 | App State | 39.9F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 11 | Cold | 68.0 | 7.4 | Massachusetts | 36.9F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Cold | 68.0 | 7.4 | Georgia State | 44.1F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 13 | Wet | 67.0 | 6.4 | Troy | 47.8F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 4 | Windy | 65.0 | 4.4 | SMU | 91.9F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 13 | Wet | 64.0 | 3.4 | Louisiana | 57.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 2 | Windy | 60.0 | -0.6 | UNLV | 98.1F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 5 | Wet | 60.0 | -0.6 | Missouri | 70.0F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Cold | 59.0 | -1.6 | App State | 33.3F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 56.0 | -4.6 | Louisiana | 79.0F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 11 | Wet | 56.0 | -4.6 | UL Monroe | 52.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 3 | Wet | 55.0 | -5.6 | Washington | 62.6F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 9 | Wet | 52.0 | -8.6 | Texas State | 57.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 14 | Wet | 50.0 | -10.6 | Texas State | 52.0F | 13.9 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2025 | 4 | Wet | 49.0 | -11.6 | Kennesaw State | 84.4F | 6.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 13 | Windy | 46.0 | -14.6 | Texas State | 55.2F | 21.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 12 | Wet | 42.0 | -18.6 | Texas State | 64.0F | 27.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 4 | Windy | 38.0 | -22.6 | Memphis | 72.5F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 9 | Wet | 34.0 | -26.6 | South Alabama | 62.4F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Wet | 29.0 | -31.6 | Texas State | 41.0F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |