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NC State

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Carter-Finley Stadium • Raleigh • NC

Team games analyzed
150
Neutral avg points
54.7
Adverse avg points
51.4
Weather delta
-3.3

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2021 vs Wake Forest: 32.3 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2016 vs Notre Dame: -41.7 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
202111Cold87.032.3Wake Forest41.0F4.3 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold65.010.3North Carolina44.6F3.7 mph0.0 inYes
201911Cold65.010.3Clemson37.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
202113Cold64.09.3North Carolina41.2F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
201813Wet62.07.3North Carolina37.9F3.7 mph0.1 inNo
201812Cold62.07.3Louisville38.7F6.2 mph0.0 inNo
201314Cold62.07.3Maryland44.1F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
202514Cold61.06.3North Carolina37.6F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
202313Cold59.04.3North Carolina39.2F5.8 mph0.0 inYes
20206Wet59.04.3Virginia63.3F8.6 mph0.0 inYes
20222Wet58.03.3Charleston Southern77.2F4.3 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold55.00.3Wake Forest44.1F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
201912Windy54.0-0.7Louisville43.0F15.8 mph0.0 inNo
201914Wet51.0-3.7North Carolina46.4F2.2 mph0.1 inNo
20179Cold49.0-5.7Notre Dame39.2F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20248Windy47.0-7.7California77.4F17.4 mph0.0 inYes
20156Wet41.0-13.7Virginia Tech61.0F0.0 mph0.3 inNo
20146Windy41.0-13.7Clemson66.7F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
20217Windy40.0-14.7Boston College71.2F16.2 mph0.0 inNo
201612Windy40.0-14.7Miami73.0F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
202212Windy35.0-19.7Louisville37.6F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
201510Windy32.0-22.7Boston College60.1F21.9 mph0.0 inNo
201711Cold31.0-23.7Boston College33.1F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
20166Wet13.0-41.7Notre Dame69.1F21.9 mph0.5 inYes

Quick Answers

NC State weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-3.33

Games in scope
150
Neutral avg points
54.71
Adverse avg points
51.38
Top outlier
Wet (-41.71)